The Colorado Rockies upended the Los Angeles Dodgers 4-3 at Coors Field on April 18, 2026, completing a comeback that the DiamondIQ model had initially given just a 19 percent chance of occurring. Los Angeles scored twice in the first inning and added another run in the second to build a 3-1 lead, but Colorado answered with two runs in the sixth and held that margin through nine innings to close out the win.
The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the sixth, when Troy Johnston's double off Will Klein swung win probability by plus-17.2 percent in Colorado's favor, and Hunter Goodman followed with a double of his own off Klein to add another plus-9.1 percent swing. Those two hits combined to erase the Dodgers' lead and proved to be the offensive turning point of the game. Los Angeles mounted threats in the late innings but could not convert, with Max Muncy grounding out in the eighth off Jaden Hill at a cost of minus-17.0 percent win probability and Kyle Tucker flying out to end the ninth off Victor Vodnik at minus-10.9 percent.
Johnston was the clear standout performer, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus-33.1 percent and a RE24 of plus-2.0, making him the single most impactful bat of the night by a wide margin. Freddie Freeman led Dodgers batters with a plus-10.0 percent WPA contribution, though it was not enough to overcome Colorado's late surge. On the mound, starter Ryan Feltner was the top contributor in win probability added among pitchers at plus-21.8 percent, with Victor Vodnik and Brennan Bernardino also posting strong figures of plus-15.2 and plus-13.4 percent respectively as the Rockies bullpen shut the door on a Dodgers lineup that finished 8-for-27 with no errors.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.