Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| LAA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Seattle Mariners 1-0 at Angel Stadium on April 4, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 54 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Los Angeles scored the game's only run in the first inning and never surrendered the lead, as Seattle managed just five hits and failed to push across a run across nine innings.
The pitching staff carried the Angels, and the win-probability contributions tell that story clearly. Starter Jack Kochanowicz led all players with a +28.8 percent WPA, and a decisive moment in his favor came in the third inning when Randy Arozarena grounded into a forceout, a play that swung win probability 8.4 percent away from Seattle. Chase Silseth added +23.5 percent WPA in relief, retiring both Luke Raley and Leo Rivas on strikeouts in the seventh, each worth a 7.9 percent swing. The most threatening moment for the Mariners came when Cole Young was hit by a pitch from Joey Lucchesi in the top of the seventh, a swing of +8.6 percent in Seattle's favor, but the rally went nowhere. Emerson Hancock contributed +21.2 percent WPA on the Seattle side, keeping the game close despite the shutout.
Among individual batters, J.P. Crawford led Seattle at +3.3 percent WPA with a +0.4 RE24, while Zach Neto paced the Angels with +2.7 percent WPA and a team-best +1.1 RE24. Mike Trout posted +3.2 percent WPA despite a -0.8 RE24, with his strikeout against Eduard Bazardo in the eighth actually adding 7.8 percent to the Angels' win probability given the game situation. The DiamondIQ model leans toward the Angels' pitching depth as the deciding factor in this one-run outcome.