The Los Angeles Dodgers handled the Arizona Diamondbacks 8-2 at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on March 26, 2026, in a game that was largely settled by the middle innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving the Dodgers a 54 percent home win probability, and by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent as Los Angeles's offense and bullpen combined to make the result feel inevitable well before the ninth.
The game's decisive sequence unfolded in back-to-back innings. Arizona briefly seized control in the top of the fourth when Geraldo Perdomo launched a home run off Yoshinobu Yamamoto, a swing that shifted win probability by plus-17.5 percent in the Diamondbacks' favor and gave them a 2-0 lead. That advantage dissolved entirely in the bottom of the fifth. Andy Pages turned on a Zac Gallen offering and drove it out of the park for a home run that swung win probability by plus-30.0 percent, the single biggest play of the night, erasing the deficit and putting Los Angeles ahead for good. Will Smith followed later in that same inning with a single off Juan Morillo worth plus-8.9 percent, and the Dodgers posted four runs in the frame. A four-run seventh, punctuated by a Kyle Tucker double off Taylor Clarke that added plus-7.9 percent, closed out any remaining doubt.
On the individual ledger, Pages finished as the game's most impactful performer with a WPA of plus-26.3 percent and an RE24 of plus-2.4, while Will Smith contributed plus-7.9 percent WPA and a plus-2.2 RE24. Perdomo led Arizona with plus-16.3 percent WPA and plus-1.5 RE24 despite the loss. On the mound, Blake Treinen led all pitchers with a plus-7.2 percent WPA contribution, and Yamamoto added plus-1.4 percent in a solid showing despite surrendering the fourth-inning home run. Arizona was held scoreless across eight of nine innings, managing just six hits without committing an error in a clean but ultimately futile performance.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.