The Los Angeles Dodgers dismantled the Los Angeles Angels 13-5 at Angel Stadium on March 22, 2026, in a game that was effectively decided in a single inning. The DiamondIQ model's estimate entered with the Angels holding a 33% chance of winning at home, but that figure collapsed entirely by the final out, finishing at 0%.
The decisive moment came in the top of the third inning, when the Dodgers erupted for 10 runs against Angel pitching. Samy Natera Jr. and George Klassen combined to absorb the damage, and the five biggest win-probability swings of the entire game all occurred within that frame. Teoscar Hernández was the centerpiece, producing a single off Natera Jr. that shifted win probability by 10.7 percentage points, then following with a home run off George Klassen worth an additional 10.5 points, giving him a combined WPA of plus-21.2 on the day. Walks drawn by Mookie Betts off Klassen and Freddie Freeman and Max Muncy off Natera Jr. contributed swings of 9.2, 8.1, and 8.0 percentage points respectively, illustrating how thoroughly the Dodger lineup extended the inning through plate discipline before Hernández delivered the decisive blow.
Beyond Hernández, Andy Pages added a WPA of plus-7.7 to go with a RE24 of plus-1.2, while Shohei Ohtani posted the game's highest RE24 at plus-2.1 alongside a WPA of plus-7.0. The Angels managed five runs across the game but never threatened to close the deficit created in that third inning. The Dodgers' pitching staff contributed minimally to the win-probability ledger given how thoroughly the offense had already settled matters, with Ben Casparius, Ronan Kopp, and Drew Pomeranz each finishing near zero in WPA.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.