MLB Recap · June 22, 2024

Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

LAA2
Final
LAD7

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA000100100230
LAD00421000-791

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Los Angeles Angels 7-2 on June 22, 2024, at Dodger Stadium, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate tracked steadily from a pre-game home win probability of 74 percent all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Los Angeles held a comfortable advantage through the early innings before the game broke open decisively in the third, when the Dodgers plated four runs to effectively end any competitive tension. The Angels finished with just three hits against Dodger pitching, while Los Angeles posted nine hits and committed one error across nine innings.

The pivotal sequence came in the bottom of the third inning, where back-to-back home runs off Angels starter Zach Plesac shifted the game's trajectory sharply toward the Dodgers. Shohei Ohtani connected for a home run that added 14.1 percent to the Dodgers' win probability, and Gavin Lux followed with a home run of his own worth an additional 10.6 percent, together accounting for nearly 25 percentage points of swing within the same inning. Earlier, in the top of the fourth, Taylor Ward hit a double off Tyler Glasnow that added 6.7 percent to the Angels' win probability, providing a brief moment of hope for the visiting side, but Los Angeles answered with a run in the bottom of the fourth to keep the Angels at arm's length.

Ohtani was the standout individual performer, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus-14.6 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.7, making him the single most impactful offensive player on the field. Gavin Lux was close behind at plus-10.8 percent WPA and plus-1.3 RE24, while Taylor Ward led Angel batters with a WPA of plus-11.2 percent despite his team's lopsided defeat. Plesac bore the brunt of the damage, surrendering both the Ohtani and Lux home runs in that decisive third inning, and the Angels were ultimately unable to generate enough offense against a Dodger staff that suppressed any serious comeback attempt.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalLAD win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 73.6% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Shohei Ohtani Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Zach Plesac
+14.1%
Gavin Lux Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Zach Plesac
+10.6%
Miguel Rojas Lineout
Bot 2nd · off Zach Plesac
-7.6%
Taylor Ward Double
Top 4th · off Tyler Glasnow
+6.7%
Freddie Freeman Pop Out
Bot 1st · off Zach Plesac
-6.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Shohei Ohtani+14.6%+1.7 RE24
Taylor Ward+11.2%+0.4 RE24
Gavin Lux+10.8%+1.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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