Los Angeles Angels at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the Los Angeles Angels 9-4 at Chase Field on June 11, 2024, in a game that was largely in hand by the middle innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the night with a 64% win probability favoring the home side, and that figure climbed steadily to 100% by the final out. Arizona built its advantage through a series of damaging sequences, while the Angels were unable to sustain any meaningful momentum despite posting 11 hits on the night.

The decisive shift in win probability came in the bottom of the third inning, when Randal Grichuk connected on a home run off José Suarez, a swing that added 18.9% to Arizona's win probability and proved to be the single most impactful play of the game. The Angels had actually applied pressure of their own in that same third inning, with Taylor Ward delivering a double off Jordan Montgomery that moved the needle 9.2% in Los Angeles's favor, followed by a Kevin Pillar double worth 8.2%. Ward added a solo home run off Montgomery in the top of the sixth for another 9.4% swing, giving the Angels brief life. However, Arizona answered with a three-run seventh inning that effectively closed the door, and the Diamondbacks' bullpen held firm the rest of the way.

Grichuk finished as the game's most impactful performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting a WPA of +27.2% and an RE24 of +2.8. Ward led the Angels with a WPA of +18.7% and an RE24 of +2.3, making him the lone bright spot in a losing effort. Gabriel Moreno contributed a WPA of +10.9% for Arizona. On the pitching side, Justin Martinez was the most valuable arm in the game by win probability, adding 5.0% for the Diamondbacks out of the bullpen.