MLB Recap · June 8, 2024

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

HOU6
Final
LAA1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
HOU0020200206110
LAA000000100160

The Story

The Houston Astros handed the Los Angeles Angels a decisive 6-1 defeat at Angel Stadium on June 8, 2024, a game that was never particularly close after Houston seized control early. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving the Angels a 45 percent chance of winning on their home field, but that probability eroded steadily and finished at zero as Houston's offense and pitching combined to make the outcome feel routine by the final out.

The decisive sequence began in the third inning against Tyler Anderson, when Chas McCormick ripped a triple that shifted win probability 9.1 percent in Houston's favor, though the rally's full potential was tempered when Yainer Diaz struck out to swing momentum back 6.8 percent. Yordan Alvarez was then hit by a pitch to push the needle another 6.0 percent, keeping the frame alive. Houston scored twice in that inning and returned to Anderson in the fifth, where Alvarez delivered the game's single most consequential swing, a home run that added 15.2 percent to Houston's win probability and extended the lead to 4-0. Alvarez finished as the game's top performer by a wide margin, accumulating a combined WPA of plus-23.5 percent and an RE24 of plus-3.9. The Angels' lone threat came in the bottom of the seventh, but Zach Neto's groundout off Bryan Abreu extinguished it, costing Los Angeles 11.5 percent in win probability.

On the mound, Hunter Brown was the pillar of Houston's effort, finishing with a WPA of plus-21.9 percent, the highest of any pitcher on either side. Bryan Abreu added plus-2.8 percent in relief, and Adam Cimber contributed plus-0.8 percent. The Angels managed six hits across the game but were unable to convert them into any sustained pressure, scoring their lone run in the seventh. Houston's 11 hits and zero errors stood in clean contrast to a Los Angeles offense that never found a path back into the contest.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025HOU bats firstFinalLAA win %HOU win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 45.1% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Yordan Alvarez Home Run
Top 5th · off Tyler Anderson
+15.2%
Zach Neto Groundout
Bot 7th · off Bryan Abreu
-11.5%
Chas McCormick Triple
Top 3rd · off Tyler Anderson
+9.1%
Yainer Diaz Strikeout
Top 3rd · off Tyler Anderson
-6.8%
Yordan Alvarez Hit By Pitch
Top 3rd · off Tyler Anderson
+6.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Yordan Alvarez+23.5%+3.9 RE24
Chas McCormick+7.9%+0.2 RE24
Alex Bregman+6.6%+0.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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