MLB Recap · June 4, 2024

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

SF5
Final
AZ8

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SF000110030561
AZ00310040-8130

The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the San Francisco Giants 8-5 at Chase Field on June 4, 2024, handing the visiting Giants a loss that was never truly in doubt after the middle innings. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with a 55 percent home win probability for Arizona, and that figure climbed steadily toward its final reading of 100 percent as the D-backs built their lead in layers across the third, fourth, and seventh innings.

The decisive stretch began in the bottom of the third, where Blaze Alexander delivered a double off Giants starter Kyle Harrison that swung win probability 10.1 points in Arizona's favor, the single largest swing of the game. Ketel Marte followed with a single that added another 8.5 points, and the damage from Harrison continued into the fourth when Alexander singled again for a 7.8-point swing. The Giants mounted a brief threat in the top of the seventh, but Matt Chapman's strikeout against Justin Martinez deflated the rally at a cost of 7.2 points of win probability, effectively closing the door on any San Francisco comeback. Gabriel Moreno then extended the Arizona lead with a single off Luke Jackson in the bottom half that added 6.8 points, pushing the D-backs' cushion to a comfortable margin.

Alexander finished as the game's most impactful offensive player, accumulating a WPA of plus-19.6 and an RE24 of plus-2.1, while Marte added plus-9.9 WPA and plus-1.8 RE24 to anchor the middle of the Arizona lineup. On the pitching side, Martinez led the bullpen with plus-7.2 WPA, followed by Kevin Ginkel at plus-5.0 and Joe Mantiply at plus-3.0. San Francisco managed six hits and committed one error, but the 13-hit Arizona attack proved too balanced and too consistent to overcome.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SF bats firstFinalAZ win %SF win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Blaze Alexander Double
Bot 3rd · off Kyle Harrison
+10.1%
Ketel Marte Single
Bot 3rd · off Kyle Harrison
+8.5%
Blaze Alexander Single
Bot 4th · off Kyle Harrison
+7.8%
Matt Chapman Strikeout
Top 7th · off Justin Martinez
-7.2%
Gabriel Moreno Single
Bot 7th · off Luke Jackson
+6.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Blaze Alexander+19.6%+2.1 RE24
Ketel Marte+9.9%+1.8 RE24
Gabriel Moreno+5.5%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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