MLB Recap · September 6, 2023

New York Mets at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

NYM2
Final
WSH3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYM100010000280
WSH000000201391

The Story

The Washington Nationals defeated the New York Mets 3-2 at Nationals Park on September 6, 2023, handing New York a road loss in a game the DiamondIQ model's estimate entered at 53 percent in favor of Washington and closed at 100 percent. The Mets scored once in the first and added a run in the fifth but could not answer Washington's decisive two-run seventh inning, which proved to be the margin of victory.

The turning point arrived in the bottom of the seventh, where back-to-back singles off Trevor Gott shifted the complexion of the game. CJ Abrams reached with a single that added 11.9 percent to Washington's win probability, and Ildemaro Vargas followed with a single worth 12.0 percent, the two hits combining to swing the game decisively in the Nationals' favor. Washington extended its lead with a Jacob Young single off Phil Bickford in the ninth, a hit that added 15.4 percent to the home side's win probability. New York's hopes of a rally died in the top of the ninth when Brandon Nimmo grounded into a double play off Kyle Finnegan, a swing of negative 18.2 percent that effectively ended the contest.

Among the top performers by WPA, Ildemaro Vargas finished with a plus-14.5 percent mark and a RE24 of plus-0.6, while Jacob Young contributed plus-12.4 percent and a matching plus-0.6 RE24. Jake Alu added plus-9.3 percent with a RE24 of plus-0.7 on the offensive side. On the pitching side, José Buttó led all pitchers with a plus-30.4 percent WPA contribution, and Kyle Finnegan added plus-13.5 percent, with Brooks Raley contributing plus-10.9 percent to secure the Washington victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYM bats firstFinalWSH win %NYM win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 53% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Brandon Nimmo Grounded Into DP
Top 9th · off Kyle Finnegan
-18.2%
Jacob Young Single
Bot 9th · off Phil Bickford
+15.4%
Ildemaro Vargas Single
Bot 7th · off Trevor Gott
+12.0%
CJ Abrams Single
Bot 7th · off Trevor Gott
+11.9%
Ronny Mauricio Double Play
Top 8th · off Hunter Harvey
-11.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Ildemaro Vargas+14.5%+0.6 RE24
Jacob Young+12.4%+0.6 RE24
Jake Alu+9.3%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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