Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The Baltimore Orioles dismantled the New York Yankees 14-1 at Yankee Stadium on July 6, 2023, in a performance that was never close after the early innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with New York holding a 49% win probability, but by the final out that figure had collapsed to 0%, a reflection of how thoroughly Baltimore controlled the contest from the third inning onward.

The decisive sequence came in the top of the third, when the Orioles sent a wave of damage against Luis Severino and Albert Abreu that effectively ended any competitive tension. Ryan O'Hearn delivered the single most impactful blow of the game, a double off Severino that shifted win probability by plus-11.4 percentage points in Baltimore's favor. Gunnar Henderson followed with a single adding another 5.1 points, and Jordan Westburg contributed a double worth 4.3 points, all against Severino. The frame continued into the Abreu portion, where Adley Rutschman and O'Hearn each singled for 3.6 points apiece. Baltimore plated seven runs in that third inning alone before adding five more in the fourth, stretching the margin well beyond reach.

O'Hearn was the game's standout offensive performer, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus-15.0% and a RE24 of plus-3.3, driven by his multiple critical hits. Henderson was close behind at plus-5.9% WPA and a game-high RE24 of plus-3.5, while Colton Cowser added plus-4.6% WPA. On the mound, Kyle Bradish was the clear anchor, contributing plus-10.5% WPA as Baltimore's starter, holding the Yankees' lineup in check throughout his outing while his offense built an insurmountable lead around him.