MLB Recap · June 14, 2023

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers: Final Score & Recap

LAA3
Final
TEX6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA001000002371
TEX00100032-690

The Story

The Texas Rangers defeated the Los Angeles Angels 6-3 at Globe Life Field on June 14, 2023, turning what had been a relatively tight contest into a comfortable home victory. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring Texas at 62% and closed at 100% as the Rangers pulled away with three runs in the seventh inning and two more in the eighth to put the game out of reach. The Angels managed three runs of their own, including two in the ninth, but the damage had already been done.

The decisive moment of the game came in the bottom of the seventh, when Marcus Semien launched a home run off Jimmy Herget that shifted win probability by 30.0 percentage points in Texas's favor, the single largest swing of the night. Earlier in the game, Anthony Rendon had given the Angels a brief boost with a double off Andrew Heaney in the third inning, adding 11.8 percentage points, and Leody Taveras answered for Texas moments later with a home run off Reid Detmers worth 11.2 percentage points. Mitch Garver's double in the fifth off Detmers added another 9.7 percentage points for the Rangers, steadily tightening their grip on the game.

Among the standout performers, Semien led all batters with a composite WPA of plus 33.0 and an RE24 of plus 1.6, while Corey Seager contributed plus 12.1 WPA and plus 1.2 RE24. On the mound, Reid Detmers led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 24.2, working through a Rangers lineup that tested him repeatedly, followed by Grant Anderson at plus 22.0 and Josh Sborz at plus 12.9. The model leans toward Texas having controlled the game's key leverage moments throughout, with Semien's seventh-inning blast serving as the definitive turning point.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalTEX win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 62.4% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Marcus Semien Home Run
Bot 7th · off Jimmy Herget
+30.0%
Anthony Rendon Double
Top 3rd · off Andrew Heaney
+11.8%
Leody Taveras Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Reid Detmers
+11.2%
Jonah Heim Strikeout
Bot 6th · off Reid Detmers
-10.1%
Mitch Garver Double
Bot 5th · off Reid Detmers
+9.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Marcus Semien+33.0%+1.6 RE24
Corey Seager+12.1%+1.2 RE24
Mitch Garver+4.3%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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