Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
The Story
The Atlanta Braves defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 5-2 at Chase Field on June 3, 2023, in a game that was never particularly close despite the DiamondIQ model entering the night giving the home side a 55% win probability. Atlanta built its advantage methodically, scoring in the third, fourth, sixth, and twice more across the contest while holding Arizona to a single run through the first six innings. The Braves finished with 11 hits against no errors, while the Diamondbacks managed just 6 hits in a relatively tidy defeat.
The most consequential sequence of the game came in the bottom of the seventh inning, where Jesse Chavez navigated a high-leverage situation that swung win probability in rapid, alternating directions. Geraldo Perdomo drew a hit by pitch that shifted Arizona's chances upward by 11.4%, and Gabriel Moreno followed with a walk worth another 10.8%, putting the Diamondbacks in a position to threaten. However, Ketel Marte's strikeout erased 11.5% of Arizona's win probability in a single at-bat, and Pavin Smith's strikeout cost the Diamondbacks another 10.8%, effectively extinguishing the rally and any remaining hope of a comeback. Chavez finished with a net WPA of plus 3.0% for Atlanta across that difficult frame. Earlier, Evan Longoria's home run off Spencer Strider in the fifth added 10.6% for Arizona and represented the lone true scoring threat the Diamondbacks mounted against the Atlanta ace.
Among individual performers, Eddie Rosario led all position players with a WPA of plus 17.4% and an RE24 of plus 1.2, making him the single most impactful offensive contributor on the night. Ronald Acuña Jr. added plus 9.1% WPA, while Arizona's Gabriel Moreno was the bright spot for the home side at plus 8.1% WPA despite the loss. On the mound, Spencer Strider paced all pitchers at plus 14.6% WPA, reinforcing his dominance even after allowing the Longoria home run, and Nick Anderson contributed a plus 5.2% WPA in relief as Atlanta completed a clean road victory.