Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Miami Marlins shut out the Los Angeles Angels 2-0 at Angel Stadium on May 28, 2023, holding a lineup that included Shohei Ohtani to just five hits across nine innings. The DiamondIQ model had opened the game with a 54% home win probability for the Angels, but that estimate fell steadily and closed at 0% as Miami's pitching staff never allowed a serious threat to materialize.

The decisive offensive moment came in the third inning when Nick Fortes connected on a home run off Patrick Sandoval, a swing that shifted win probability 10.7 points in Miami's favor and set the tone for the afternoon. The Marlins added a second run in the sixth on a Jean Segura single off Sandoval, a hit worth 8.8 points of win probability, though Bryan De La Cruz immediately grounded into a double play that gave 8.2 points back to Los Angeles. In the bottom of the ninth, Taylor Ward's game-ending double play off JT Chargois represented a 14.9-point swing against the Angels and closed the door on any remaining hope of a rally. Ohtani's strikeout against Tanner Scott in the seventh, costing the Angels 8.0 points of win probability, illustrated how effectively Miami's bullpen neutralized the most dangerous bat in the lineup.

Eury Pérez was the game's dominant individual performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, contributing 25.3 points of win probability from the mound, while Tanner Scott added another 18.7 points in relief. Fortes led all position players at plus-13.1 points of win probability and a RE24 of plus-1.4, making his third-inning home run the single most consequential offensive act of the afternoon. Luis Arraez contributed plus-9.3 points and a RE24 of plus-1.0, while Zach Neto's plus-9.5 mark on the losing side reflected what little Angels resistance the model registered across the final innings.