Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

The Cleveland Guardians blanked the Chicago White Sox 2-0 at Progressive Field on October 10, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Cleveland win climbing from 54% before the game to 100% by its conclusion. The Guardians generated all the offense they would need in the bottom of the fourth inning, when José Ramírez connected on a home run off Sean Burke that shifted win probability by +17.3% in Cleveland's favor. That swing proved to be the game's defining moment, as neither club crossed the plate in any other frame. Chicago mounted its most credible threat in the top of the sixth, where Miguel Vargas drew a walk off Gavin Williams (+6.8%) and Colson Montgomery was hit by a pitch (+5.3%), but Munetaka Murakami's strikeout off Erik Sabrowski erased the opportunity at a cost of -10.7% in White Sox win probability, effectively ending any realistic path to a comeback.

On the pitching side, Gavin Williams led all players with a WPA of +15.5%, while Cade Smith was nearly as valuable at +15.2%, and Sabrowski contributed +10.7% of his own after stranding the Chicago threat in the sixth. Kyle Teel's strikeout against Cade Smith in the top of the eighth, costing Chicago -5.3% in win probability, underscored how thoroughly the Guardians' bullpen locked down the late innings. Offensively, Ramírez finished as the game's top performer by WPA at +14.9% with a RE24 of +1.7, while Tristan Peters and Steven Kwan each added modest positive contributions at +2.6% and +1.5% respectively. Cleveland held Chicago to three hits against one error, surrendering no runs across nine innings while the White Sox finished with a lone error and nothing to show for their six baserunners on the afternoon.