Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
The Story
The Tampa Bay Rays shut out the Philadelphia Phillies 2-0 on September 25, 2026, at Citizens Bank Park, scoring both of their runs in the first two innings and then leaning entirely on their pitching staff to hold the lead. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Philadelphia a 48% chance of winning at home, but that probability eroded steadily and finished at 0% as the Phillies never managed to meaningfully threaten the Rays' advantage.
The decisive stretch of the game came in the sixth inning, where Tampa Bay pitching extinguished Philadelphia's best chance at a rally. Bryson Stott's lineout off Cam Booser represented the single costliest moment for the Phillies, swinging win probability 11.0 percentage points against them, followed immediately by Bryan De La Cruz's lineout off the same pitcher, a swing of 9.2 points. Booser finished as the game's highest-impact pitcher by WPA at plus-20.2%, with Freddy Peralta close behind at plus-16.5%, and Cristopher Sanchez adding plus-14.6% in his own right. The Phillies did generate a brief moment of hope in the ninth when De La Cruz hit a flyout off Bryan Baker that actually shifted win probability 14.4 points in Philadelphia's favor, reflecting how close the Rays were to recording the final out, though it ultimately amounted to nothing. Earlier, Justin Crawford's ground into a double play in the second inning off Peralta cost the Phillies 8.5 percentage points of win probability, another sequence that deflated what could have been a productive frame.
Among individual performers, De La Cruz led all batters with a plus-5.2% WPA despite a minus-0.7 RE24, reflecting his involvement in several of the game's highest-leverage moments. Jonathan Aranda contributed plus-2.7% WPA and a plus-0.2 RE24 for Tampa Bay, while Nick Fortes added plus-1.0% WPA and plus-0.3 RE24. Trea Turner's single off Peralta in the sixth was the lone bright spot in that inning for Philadelphia, generating plus-5.9% win probability, but the Phillies were unable to build on it. The Rays' four-hit shutout was constructed almost entirely in the earliest innings, and their pitching staff did the rest.