Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays handed the New York Yankees a 6-1 defeat at Yankee Stadium on September 22, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate found increasingly inevitable as the game progressed — opening at a 50 percent home win probability and closing at zero. The Rays broke through in the third inning on a Cedric Mullins walk off Max Fried that shifted win probability 5.5 percent in Tampa Bay's favor, but the decisive damage came in the seventh. Yandy Díaz delivered a single off John Schreiber that swung win probability 16.2 percent toward the Rays, and Taylor Walls followed with a single off Max Fried worth an additional 8.4 percent, as Tampa Bay pushed across three runs in the frame to extend what had been a one-run lead into a commanding advantage. The Yankees briefly responded with a run in the bottom of the seventh, when Heliot Ramos doubled off Drew Rasmussen to add 5.3 percent to New York's win probability, but it amounted to little. The Rays tacked on two more in the ninth to reach the final margin of 6-1, finishing with 11 hits against no errors.

Drew Rasmussen was the game's most impactful performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting a WPA of plus-31.2 percent to lead all pitchers, with Cam Booser adding plus-5.2 percent in support and Fried finishing at plus-3.4 percent despite allowing the bulk of the Rays' damage. Among position players, Díaz led Tampa Bay with a WPA of plus-14.6 percent and a RE24 of plus-2.6, reflecting his pivotal seventh-inning contribution. Walls complemented him with a plus-9.1 percent WPA and plus-1.0 RE24, while Ryan Vilade contributed a plus-4.4 percent WPA. Notably, a Junior Caminero groundout in the sixth cost the Rays 8.6 percent in win probability before the offense erupted an inning later, underscoring how close the game remained before the seventh-inning burst ultimately decided matters.