MLB Recap · September 20, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

MIL3
Final
BAL0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIL010100100360
BAL000000000040

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers completed a clean 3-0 shutout of the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on September 20, 2026, holding the home side scoreless across nine innings while scoring once in the second, fourth, and seventh. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had Baltimore entering with a 39% chance of winning, a number that eroded steadily through the game and closed at 0% by the final out.

The pivotal moments came in the middle innings. William Contreras delivered the biggest offensive blow in the top of the fourth, a home run off Brandon Young that shifted win probability by plus 10.4 percentage points and gave Milwaukee a 2-0 cushion. Baltimore's best chance to respond came in the bottom of the sixth, but Jeremiah Jackson grounded out against Chad Patrick in the game's single largest win-probability swing, a minus 12.1-point shift that effectively ended the Orioles' most dangerous threat. Cooper Pratt then padded the lead in the seventh with a single off Félix Bautista that added another 9.6 points of win probability, and Dylan Beavers' flyout to end the home half of the seventh dropped Baltimore's chances by a further 7.4 points.

Among individual performers, Pratt led all batters with a plus 12.3% WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.7, while Jake Bauers contributed plus 8.9% WPA and Colton Cowser added plus 6.1%. On the mound, DL Hall was the most valuable arm by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting plus 18.3% WPA, with JoJo Romero close behind at plus 13.0% and Brandon Young contributing plus 9.9% despite surrendering the Contreras home run.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalBAL win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 39.1% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jeremiah Jackson — Groundout
Bot 6th · off Chad Patrick
-12.1%
William Contreras — Home Run
Top 4th · off Brandon Young
+10.4%
Cooper Pratt — Single
Top 7th · off Félix Bautista
+9.6%
Dylan Beavers — Flyout
Bot 7th · off DL Hall
-7.4%
Leody Taveras — Flyout
Bot 9th · off Trevor Megill
+6.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Cooper Pratt+12.3%+1.7 RE24
Jake Bauers+8.9%+0.5 RE24
Colton Cowser+6.1%+0.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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