MLB Recap · September 18, 2026

New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

NYY9
Final
AZ2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYY501001200980
AZ020000000272

The Story

The New York Yankees cruised to a 9-2 victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on September 18, 2026, doing the bulk of their damage in the first inning and never relinquishing control. The DiamondIQ model had entered the game giving Arizona a 48 percent chance of winning at home, but that figure collapsed almost immediately and finished at zero percent. New York plated five runs in the top of the first against Eduardo Rodriguez, a burst that effectively decided the contest before Arizona had managed a single out on offense. The Diamondbacks briefly showed life in the second inning on a Corbin Carroll home run off Gerrit Cole that carried a win-probability swing of plus-8.8 percent, but that rally stalled when Jesús Sánchez struck out to close the frame, a swing of minus-7.3 percent that erased most of what Carroll had restored.

The single most consequential sequence of the game was Gabriel Moreno's groundout to end the bottom of the first, a play that registered minus-9.4 percent win probability and snuffed out any Arizona response to the Yankees' five-run opening salvo. On the New York side, Heliot Ramos and Anthony Volpe contributed early strikeouts against Rodriguez in the top half of innings one and two that added plus-8.6 percent and plus-8.5 percent to the Yankees' win probability respectively, reflecting how thoroughly New York controlled both sides of the ball from the opening frame. The Yankees added single runs in the third and sixth and two more in the seventh to push the final margin to seven.

Gerrit Cole was the dominant individual performer, finishing with a plus-24.6 percent WPA, a figure that underscores how thoroughly he suppressed Arizona's lineup after the Carroll home run. Among position players, Ben Rice led all batters with a plus-2.8 RE24 and plus-6.8 percent WPA, while Carroll's home run gave him the top RE24 mark among hitters at plus-2.2 despite the Diamondbacks' lopsided loss. Ramos posted the highest batter WPA on the Yankees' side at plus-7.6 percent. New York finished with eight hits and committed no errors; Arizona managed seven hits but was undermined by two errors that contributed to the final margin.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYY bats firstFinalAZ win %NYY win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 47.7% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Gabriel Moreno — Groundout
Bot 1st · off Gerrit Cole
-9.4%
Corbin Carroll — Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Gerrit Cole
+8.8%
Heliot Ramos — Strikeout
Top 2nd · off Eduardo Rodriguez
+8.6%
Anthony Volpe — Strikeout
Top 1st · off Eduardo Rodriguez
+8.5%
Jesús Sánchez — Strikeout
Bot 2nd · off Gerrit Cole
-7.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Heliot Ramos+7.6%+0.7 RE24
Corbin Carroll+7.3%+2.2 RE24
Ben Rice+6.8%+2.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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