MLB Recap · September 17, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Recap

LAD8
Final
CIN2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD2203000018120
CIN000100001270

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers handed the Cincinnati Reds an 8-2 defeat at Great American Ball Park on September 17, 2026, building a lead early and never relinquishing it. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Reds a 40% chance of winning at home, a figure that steadily eroded and closed at 0% as Los Angeles scored in four separate innings, including a three-run fourth that effectively put the game away.

The decisive sequences came in the second and fourth innings, driven primarily by Brady Singer's inability to strand runners. Kyle Tucker's double in the top of the second carried a win-probability swing of plus 4.3%, and Teoscar Hernández followed with a groundout that still added plus 4.4% to Los Angeles's chances, indicating how precarious Cincinnati's position had already become. The Reds' lone genuine opportunity came in the bottom of the second, when Matt McLain's flyout off Justin Wrobleski cost Cincinnati 6.8 percentage points of win probability, the single largest swing of the night in either direction. In the fourth, Max Muncy's double off Singer registered plus 5.9%, and a subsequent walk to Hernández added another 2.6%, capping the frame that essentially decided the outcome.

Wrobleski was the game's dominant individual performer, finishing with a WPA of plus 16.6% to lead all players, a figure that reflects how thoroughly he suppressed Cincinnati's offense through the bulk of the contest. On the offensive side, Muncy posted plus 7.3% WPA and 1.7 RE24, while Hernández contributed plus 7.0% WPA. Kyle Tucker rounded out the top three with plus 5.1% WPA and a team-best 3.5 RE24, underscoring his efficiency in run-context terms. Landon Knack and Luis Mey each added modest contributions in relief, finishing at plus 3.0% and plus 1.4% WPA respectively, as Los Angeles completed a clean effort with zero errors on 12 hits.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalCIN win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 39.6% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Matt McLain — Flyout
Bot 2nd · off Justin Wrobleski
-6.8%
Max Muncy — Double
Top 4th · off Brady Singer
+5.9%
Teoscar Hernández — Groundout
Top 2nd · off Brady Singer
+4.4%
Kyle Tucker — Double
Top 2nd · off Brady Singer
+4.3%
Top 4th · off Brady Singer
+2.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Max Muncy+7.3%+1.7 RE24
Teoscar Hernández+7.0%+0.1 RE24
Kyle Tucker+5.1%+3.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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