Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| AZ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
The Story
The Miami Marlins overcame a two-run Arizona lead to win 4-2 in eleven innings at Chase Field on September 15, 2026, completing a comeback that left the DiamondIQ model's pre-game home win probability of 57 percent at exactly zero by the final out. Arizona carried its lead into extra innings, but the Diamondbacks could not hold off a Marlins offense that stayed patient and struck decisively when the moment arrived.
The decisive blow came in the top of the eleventh inning when Esteury Ruiz laced a double off Taylor Clarke, a swing that shifted win probability by 55.1 percentage points in Miami's favor and effectively decided the game. That single play was the largest win-probability swing of the night and Ruiz finished as the game's top performer with a WPA of plus-54.3 and an RE24 of plus-2.2. The path to that moment was cleared in part by Jared Serna, whose strikeout in the top of the tenth carried a plus-14.3 percent win-probability impact by keeping Miami's rally thread alive against Kevin Ginkel. On the Arizona side, Ryan Waldschmidt's fielders choice out in the bottom of the tenth registered as the night's second-largest single-play swing at minus-20.5 percent, halting a potential Diamondbacks answer off Josh Ekness.
Beyond Ruiz, Gabriel Moreno contributed meaningfully on the mound side of the ledger, finishing with a WPA of plus-23.2 and an RE24 of plus-1.1, while Jose Fernandez added plus-17.8 WPA and plus-0.8 RE24 including a sacrifice bunt in the bottom of the tenth that the DiamondIQ model valued at plus-13.0 percent for Miami's win probability. Among Miami pitchers, Brandyn Garcia led the staff with a plus-18.9 WPA, followed by Juan Morillo at plus-13.5 and Michael Soroka at plus-9.9. Arizona finished with nine hits to Miami's five, but the Marlins made theirs count when the leverage was highest.