Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| CHC | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 7 | 10 | 1 |
The Story
The Chicago Cubs defeated the Atlanta Braves 7-3 at Wrigley Field on September 14, 2026, in a game that was never particularly close once Chicago seized control early. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 51 percent home win probability, but that figure climbed steadily through the middle innings before reaching 100 percent by the final out. The Cubs built their lead in chunks, scoring three runs in the second, two more in the third, and two additional in the sixth, leaving Atlanta's offense little room to recover. The Braves managed a three-run seventh but finished with just that single productive frame against a Cubs pitching staff that held firm otherwise.
The decisive turning point came in the bottom of the second, when Pete Crow-Armstrong doubled off Reynaldo López, a hit that shifted win probability 11.9 points in Chicago's favor and served as the offensive catalyst for the inning. That swing set the tone for Crow-Armstrong's night, as he finished as the game's top offensive performer by WPA at plus 13.3 percent with a RE24 of plus 3.9. Nico Hoerner contributed plus 9.6 percent WPA, while Mike Yastrzemski added plus 8.9 percent WPA and plus 2.8 RE24, including a walk in the ninth off Ryan Zeferjahn that added 6.6 points of win probability in what was already a decided game. On Atlanta's side, Ozzie Albies grounded into a double play in the eighth off Ryan Rolison, costing the Braves 9.3 points of win probability, and Ronald Acuña Jr. followed with a similar result in the ninth, draining another 7.4 points.
On the mound, David Peterson was the standout performer of the evening, posting plus 15.4 percent WPA to lead all pitchers and anchor a Cubs staff that also received contributions from Ryan Rolison at plus 1.9 percent and Ryan Zeferjahn at plus 0.7 percent. Atlanta's Reynaldo López was tagged for the early damage that effectively shaped the outcome. The Cubs collected ten hits against eight for the Braves, and Chicago's lone error did not factor into the final margin. The DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected a game that belonged to Chicago from the second inning onward.