Texas Rangers at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 2 |
The Story
The Texas Rangers held off the Arizona Diamondbacks 7-6 at Chase Field on September 13, 2026, overcoming a late Arizona push to secure the road victory. The DiamondIQ model had opened with a 57 percent pre-game win probability favoring the home side, but that number eroded steadily across the night and closed at zero as the Rangers preserved their one-run lead through the final out.
The decisive moment came in the bottom of the ninth, when Gabriel Moreno's pop out against Jacob Latz registered a +27.0 percent swing in win probability for Texas, locking up the win in what had become a tense finish. Moreno's night was a study in contrasts — he delivered a home run off Cal Quantrill in the fourth inning (+11.4%) that gave Arizona early life, then killed a potential rally in the eighth by grounding into a double play off Robert Garcia (-11.7%), and ultimately made the game's final out to end any comeback hope. His cumulative WPA landed at +25.8 percent, an unusual figure for a player on the losing side, reflecting how the sequence of his individual plate appearances shaped the game's leverage moments. On the Texas side, Josh Jung's single in the top of the fifth off Eduardo Rodriguez carried a +13.6 percent win-probability swing and helped fuel a three-run inning that pushed the Rangers' lead to what proved to be the margin of victory. Nolan Arenado's home run off Tyler Alexander in the seventh (+11.6%) tightened the game at 7-4, and Arizona added two more in the ninth, but the Rangers' bullpen ultimately held.
Cal Quantrill led all pitchers with a +22.8 percent WPA contribution for Texas, absorbing the early offensive contact while limiting the damage enough to keep the Rangers in front. Brandon Nimmo added a +15.1 percent WPA performance at the plate, finishing with a +1.0 RE24, while Jung led all position players with a +1.4 RE24. Arizona committed two errors on the night against zero for Texas, and the Rangers' 10-hit, error-free performance proved just enough to outlast the Diamondbacks' 12-hit effort.