MLB Recap · September 13, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

LAD4
Final
MIA6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD000300001490
MIA000000024690

The Story

The Miami Marlins rallied past the Los Angeles Dodgers 6-4 on September 13, 2026, at loanDepot park in a game that was largely one-sided until the final two innings rewrote everything. Los Angeles had seized control with a three-run fourth inning, capped by a Josue De Paula home run off Eury Pérez that added 20.5 percent to the Dodgers' win probability and gave them what looked like a comfortable cushion through seven scoreless frames. The DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate had Miami at just 43 percent, and with the Marlins still trailing entering the eighth, that figure had sunk far lower before an extraordinary late-game reversal carried them to a complete final win probability of 100 percent.

The comeback began in the eighth when an Otto Lopez single off Edgardo Henriquez shifted the momentum by 20.2 percent, though Tanner Scott stiffened to record a key Griffin Conine strikeout that briefly swung 18.7 percent back toward Los Angeles. The decisive blow arrived in the ninth, when Javier Sanoja laced a double off Tanner Scott worth 44.1 percent in win probability, turning what remained of the Dodgers' lead into a genuine crisis. Agustín Ramírez then drove a home run off Brock Stewart, a swing worth 35.9 percent in win probability that effectively sealed the outcome and completed Miami's four-run ninth.

By the DiamondIQ model's accounting, Ramírez finished as the game's top performer with 35.9 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.0, while Sanoja contributed 35.5 percent WPA across his pivotal final-inning work. Josue De Paula led all Dodgers hitters with 22.6 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.4, his fourth-inning home run ultimately standing as Los Angeles's lone moment of lasting advantage. On the pitching side, Emmet Sheehan was Miami's most valuable arm at plus-23.2 percent WPA, helping preserve a close game long enough for the Marlins' offense to finish the job.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalMIA win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 42.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Javier Sanoja — Double
Bot 9th · off Tanner Scott
+44.1%
Agustín Ramírez — Home Run
Bot 9th · off Brock Stewart
+35.9%
Josue De Paula — Home Run
Top 4th · off Eury Pérez
+20.5%
Otto Lopez — Single
Bot 8th · off Edgardo Henriquez
+20.2%
Griffin Conine — Strikeout
Bot 8th · off Tanner Scott
-18.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Agustín Ramírez+35.9%+2.0 RE24
Javier Sanoja+35.5%+0.7 RE24
Josue De Paula+22.6%+2.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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