Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers edged the Chicago Cubs 4-3 on September 7, 2026, at American Family Field, completing a comeback that the DiamondIQ model's estimate closed at 100 percent in Milwaukee's favor after entering the game with a 60 percent home win probability. The contest was a tightly played affair through six innings, with the game's first runs not crossing until the fifth. Pedro Ramírez provided the Cubs with an early advantage via a home run off Robert Gasser, a play that shifted win probability 13.0 percent in Chicago's favor, but Milwaukee answered in the bottom half when Garrett Mitchell singled off Matthew Boyd, a swing of 11.1 percent that kept the game level at one run apiece. The Cubs pushed ahead with a single from Alex Bregman off Aaron Ashby in the seventh, a hit worth 14.6 percent in win probability, giving Chicago what appeared to be a workable lead heading into the late innings.

The eighth inning proved decisive and undid everything the Cubs had built. Milwaukee erupted for three runs in the bottom of the frame, with Joey Ortiz delivering the signature blow, a double off Matthew Boyd that swung win probability 18.8 percent toward the Brewers. Jackson Chourio followed with a run-scoring single off Ryan Zeferjahn that added another 15.7 percent, and Milwaukee closed out the inning with a three-run advantage that Chicago could not overcome in the ninth.

Garrett Mitchell finished as the game's top batter by accumulated win probability, posting a plus-13.4 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-0.7, while Ortiz and Alex Bregman each contributed plus-12.7 percent WPA on opposite sides of the ledger. On the mound, Chad Patrick led all pitchers with a plus-12.1 percent WPA, with Abner Uribe and Trevor Megill adding plus-7.4 and plus-6.3 percent respectively to secure the Brewers victory. Milwaukee's final line showed four runs on six hits with no errors, matching Chicago's six hits while holding the edge where it counted most.