MLB Recap · September 5, 2026

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

SF9
Final
NYM5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SF1020300219101
NYM020000102550

The Story

The San Francisco Giants defeated the New York Mets 9-5 at Citi Field on September 5, 2026, handing the home side a loss that the DiamondIQ model's estimate made look increasingly inevitable as the game progressed. New York entered with a 58% pre-game win probability, but that figure eroded steadily and finished at 0% by the final out. San Francisco built its advantage through a series of damaging power swings, most of them at the expense of Mets reliever Zac Thornton, who surrendered three home runs across the third and fifth innings and never allowed the Giants to relinquish their grip on the game.

The decisive stretch came in two waves. Christian Koss started the damage in the third inning with a home run off Thornton that shifted win probability 16.8 points in San Francisco's favor. The fifth inning proved even more destructive: Rafael Devers led off with a home run against Thornton that swung the probability 17.0 points, the single largest play of the game, and Koss followed with a second home run off the same pitcher, worth another 12.2 points. New York managed a brief response when A.J. Ewing hit a two-run shot off Anthony Molina in the bottom of the second, a swing worth 14.6 points, but the Mets could not sustain that momentum. Francisco Lindor's groundout against Carson Seymour in the seventh, which cost the Mets 11.5 percentage points of win probability, illustrated how thoroughly San Francisco's pitching staff contained New York's threats when they arose.

Koss finished as the game's most impactful offensive player with a combined WPA of plus-28.7% and an RE24 of plus-2.3, while Ewing led all batters in run-environment value at plus-2.8 RE24 despite playing for the losing side. Devers contributed plus-15.2% WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.5 in support of the Giants' cause. On the mound, Molina led San Francisco's pitching staff with a WPA of plus-8.9%, followed by Reiver Sanmartin at plus-3.7% and Seymour at plus-2.6%, a collective effort that held the Mets to five runs on just five hits while the offense piled up ten.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SF bats firstFinalNYM win %SF win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 57.8% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Rafael Devers — Home Run
Top 5th · off Zac Thornton
+17.0%
Christian Koss — Home Run
Top 3rd · off Zac Thornton
+16.8%
A.J. Ewing — Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Anthony Molina
+14.6%
Christian Koss — Home Run
Top 5th · off Zac Thornton
+12.2%
Francisco Lindor — Groundout
Bot 7th · off Carson Seymour
-11.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Christian Koss+28.7%+2.3 RE24
A.J. Ewing+22.7%+2.8 RE24
Rafael Devers+15.2%+2.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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