Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks silenced Oracle Park on August 29, 2026, defeating the San Francisco Giants 7-1 behind a scoreless six innings of buildup and an explosive seventh-inning burst that effectively ended any suspense. The DiamondIQ model had opened with the Giants holding a 41 percent home win probability, but that figure collapsed to zero by the final out. Through six innings the game was locked in a 0-0 stalemate, with Arizona's Corbin Carroll actually costing the Diamondbacks momentum in the sixth when he grounded into a double play that registered a 7.5 percent swing against the batting team. The dam broke in the top of the seventh against reliever Matt Wilkinson, when consecutive walks to Gabriel Moreno and Geraldo Perdomo, worth 5.7 and 7.5 percent in win probability added respectively, loaded the stage for Lars Nootbaar. Nootbaar then delivered the decisive blow of the evening, a home run off Ryan Walker that produced a single-play win-probability swing of plus 30.2 percent, the largest of the game by a wide margin. Arizona tacked on a run in the eighth and two more in the ninth to close out the 7-1 final.

Nootbaar led all position players with a plus 30.2 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 2.7, making him the clear offensive catalyst. Jung Hoo Lee also contributed meaningfully on the offensive side with a plus 8.8 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.0, while Perdomo's patient at-bat in the seventh added plus 4.5 percent to the final WPA tally. On the pitching side, Merrill Kelly was the game's most impactful arm, accumulating a plus 28.2 percent WPA over his outing by repeatedly suppressing Giants threats, including a key sequence in the fourth inning when Turner Hill's fielder's choice out cost San Francisco 6.1 percent in win probability. Matt Wilkinson added plus 20.6 percent WPA in relief despite issuing the walks that primed the seventh-inning rally, a reflection of how efficiently Arizona capitalized on the opportunities he created. The Giants finished with four hits and an error, never generating enough sustained pressure against Arizona's pitching to alter the game's ultimate trajectory.