Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

The San Francisco Giants handed the Arizona Diamondbacks a 7-2 defeat at Oracle Park on August 29, 2026, moving the DiamondIQ model's pre-game home win probability from 42% all the way to 100% by the final out. San Francisco built its margin incrementally, scoring in the first, fifth, seventh, and eighth innings while holding Arizona to single runs in the third and seventh.

The pivotal sequence came in the bottom of the fifth, where the Giants broke the game open against Gerardo Carrillo. Bryce Eldridge delivered a single that represented the single largest win-probability swing of the night at plus 11.7%, and Rafael Devers followed with another single worth plus 9.1%, as San Francisco pushed three runs across in the frame to extend what had been a slender lead into a commanding one. Arizona had briefly threatened in the top of the seventh, when Ildemaro Vargas singled to add 10.3% in win probability for the Diamondbacks, but Lars Nootbaar's strikeout against Carson Seymour immediately swung 9.1% back toward San Francisco and effectively ended the visitors' realistic path to a comeback. Nootbaar had himself been the author of Arizona's best moment earlier, his third-inning double off Yunior Marte adding 11.6% in win probability for the road side.

On the individual ledger, Eldridge finished as the game's top offensive performer by WPA at plus 12.7% with a RE24 of plus 3.3, making him the clearest driver of the Giants' decisive fifth-inning rally. Vargas led Arizona's modest contributors at plus 10.3% WPA. On the mound, Yunior Marte was San Francisco's most valuable arm by WPA at plus 16.9%, followed by Carson Seymour at plus 13.6%, with the two combining to neutralize Arizona's most dangerous threats and preserve the Giants' comfortable final margin.