MLB Recap · August 28, 2026

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

BOS0
Final
NYY1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
BOS000000000050
NYY00100000-131

The Story

The New York Yankees defeated the Boston Red Sox 1-0 on August 28, 2026, at Yankee Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 56 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to certainty by the final out. Paul Goldschmidt's solo home run off Patrick Sandoval in the bottom of the third inning supplied the game's only run and proved to be the decisive blow, shifting win probability by 10.9 percent in New York's favor. Boston finished with five hits but never managed to convert them into a run, kept off the board by a Yankees pitching staff that was sharp throughout.

The seventh inning encapsulated Boston's offensive frustration. Wilyer Abreu gave the Red Sox a momentary lift with a double off Paul Blackburn that added 13.2 percent to their win probability, but Willson Contreras immediately extinguished the rally by grounding into a double play, a swing of negative 22.4 percent that effectively sealed Boston's fate. Abreu had already cost his team earlier, hitting into a double play off Cam Schlittler in the fifth that carried a negative 8.6 percent win-probability impact, and Andruw Monasterio's lineout against Brent Headrick in the sixth represented another negative 8.8 percent moment for the visitors.

On the mound, Cam Schlittler led all pitchers with a 23.2 percent WPA contribution, while Paul Blackburn and David Bednar each added 15.2 percent, together forming a dominant collective effort. At the plate, Goldschmidt led all batters at plus 7.9 percent WPA with a RE24 of plus 0.6, narrowly edging Spencer Jones at plus 7.8 percent. Abreu finished third among batters at plus 7.0 percent WPA despite his two double plays, a reflection of how close Boston came to threatening before ultimately managing nothing on the scoreboard.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025BOS bats firstFinalNYY win %BOS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 56.2% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Willson Contreras — Double Play
Top 7th · off Paul Blackburn
-22.4%
Wilyer Abreu — Double
Top 7th · off Paul Blackburn
+13.2%
Paul Goldschmidt — Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Patrick Sandoval
+10.9%
Andruw Monasterio — Lineout
Top 6th · off Brent Headrick
-8.8%
Wilyer Abreu — Double Play
Top 5th · off Cam Schlittler
-8.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Paul Goldschmidt+7.9%+0.6 RE24
Spencer Jones+7.8%-0.1 RE24
Wilyer Abreu+7.0%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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