MLB Recap · August 27, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap

LAD0
Final
ATL1

Line Score

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LAD000000000050
ATL10000000-140

The Story

The Atlanta Braves defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 1-0 on August 27, 2026, at Truist Park, with Atlanta's lone run in the first inning holding up as the margin for the entire game. The DiamondIQ model entered with a 53 percent home win probability, a figure that climbed steadily to 100 percent as Atlanta's pitching staff kept Los Angeles off the board through nine innings.

The most consequential sequence came in the top of the ninth, when the Dodgers mounted their most threatening rally of the night against Chris Sale. Freddie Freeman's single represented the largest single swing of the game at plus 10.6 percent win probability added, briefly injecting life into a Los Angeles offense that had managed just five hits. However, Sale answered immediately, as Teoscar Hernández's flyout swung the model's estimate back 10.1 percent and Miguel Rojas's forceout followed with a further 8.9 percent drop, effectively ending Los Angeles's best chance to tie the game. Sale finished as the game's most dominant force by a wide margin, accumulating plus 65.1 percent WPA across his outing.

Drake Baldwin was Atlanta's standout contributor on the offensive side, posting plus 6.9 percent WPA and plus 0.6 RE24 to lead all position players. His strikeout in the bottom of the eighth, which generated plus 7.8 percent win probability from the batting team's perspective by keeping the inning alive, illustrated how Atlanta kept adding pressure even in a low-scoring context. Mike Yastrzemski's double play in the seventh, a minus 8.7 percent swing off Jack Dreyer, was the one moment Atlanta's offense stumbled, though Yoshinobu Yamamoto's plus 14.8 percent WPA contribution on the mound ensured it never threatened the outcome.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalATL win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 53.2% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Freddie Freeman — Single
Top 9th · off Chris Sale
+10.6%
Top 9th · off Chris Sale
-10.1%
Miguel Rojas — Forceout
Top 9th · off Chris Sale
-8.9%
Mike Yastrzemski — Double Play
Bot 7th · off Jack Dreyer
-8.7%
Drake Baldwin — Strikeout
Bot 8th · off Edgardo Henriquez
+7.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Drake Baldwin+6.9%+0.6 RE24
Freddie Freeman+3.7%-0.4 RE24
Lane Thomas-0.1%+0.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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