MLB Recap · August 27, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

MIL8
Final
NYM2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIL2200110208121
NYM000020000231

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers handed the New York Mets a lopsided 8-2 defeat at Citi Field on August 27, 2026, using early offensive bursts and dominant pitching to put the game away well before the final out. The DiamondIQ model's estimate entered the night giving the Mets a 37 percent chance of winning at home, a figure that steadily collapsed and finished at zero percent as Milwaukee seized control from the opening innings.

The damage began in the second inning when Jackson Chourio launched a home run off Sean Manaea, a swing that shifted win probability 7.6 percent in Milwaukee's favor and set the tone for what became a thoroughly one-sided afternoon. Chourio finished as the game's top offensive performer by a significant margin, posting a WPA of plus-9.3 percent and an RE24 of plus-4.1. The Mets briefly responded with two runs of their own in the fifth, with Jared Young's double off Jacob Misiorowski representing the most impactful New York blow of the day at plus-8.1 percent win probability, followed immediately by Christopher Morel's single that pushed the swing back in Milwaukee's direction at plus-6.7 percent. Joey Ortiz added a triple off Manaea in the sixth for another 5.8 percent swing that extended the lead further.

The story of the game ultimately belonged to Misiorowski, who accumulated a commanding plus-15.4 percent WPA on the mound and consistently neutralized Mets threats, including inducing a key Marcus Semien flyout in the second that swung 6.2 percent against New York. Luis Lara contributed offensively with a plus-7.5 percent WPA showing, and Morel added plus-5.9 percent as Milwaukee finished with 12 hits to the Mets' three, a disparity that made the final margin feel every bit as decisive as the scoreboard suggested.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalNYM win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 36.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jared Young — Double
Bot 5th · off Jacob Misiorowski
+8.1%
Jackson Chourio — Home Run
Top 2nd · off Sean Manaea
+7.6%
Bot 5th · off Jacob Misiorowski
+6.7%
Marcus Semien — Flyout
Bot 2nd · off Jacob Misiorowski
-6.2%
Joey Ortiz — Triple
Top 6th · off Sean Manaea
+5.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Jackson Chourio+9.3%+4.1 RE24
Luis Lara+7.5%+1.0 RE24
Christopher Morel+5.9%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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