Philadelphia Phillies at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies shut out the Seattle Mariners 6-0 at T-Mobile Park on August 26, 2026, doing the bulk of their damage in the first two innings and never relinquishing control. The DiamondIQ model had opened the game with Seattle holding a 47 percent home win probability, but that figure was effectively erased by the end of the second inning, bottoming out at 0 percent as the game concluded.

The decisive sequence came in the top of the second against Bryan Woo, when Philadelphia strung together the plays that defined the contest. Bryce Harper's lineout, despite resulting in an out, carried the game's single largest positive swing for the batting team at plus-9.5 percent win probability, reflecting the high-leverage situation in which it occurred. Kyle Schwarber then delivered a home run worth plus-7.2 percent win probability, and Justin Crawford added a single that contributed another plus-3.3 percent. On the Seattle side, J.P. Crawford's strikeout in the bottom of the second off Jesús Luzardo represented the game's sharpest negative swing at minus-10.5 percent, and Julio Rodriguez's flyout in the first inning off Luzardo cost the Mariners an additional minus-4.1 percent, underscoring how quickly their offensive opportunities dissolved.

The standout individual performances reinforced the lopsided outcome. Bryce Harper led all batters with plus-9.8 percent cumulative win probability added and a RE24 of plus-1.6, while Schwarber posted plus-7.0 percent WPA and led position players with a RE24 of plus-2.4. Jesús Luzardo was the story on the mound, accumulating a commanding plus-24.1 percent win probability added across his outing, holding Seattle to two hits and no runs and rendering any Mariner comeback mathematically moot well before the final out.