Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox defeated the Miami Marlins 4-2 at loanDepot park on August 24, 2026, completing a wire-to-wire victory that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Marlins win fall from 50 percent before first pitch to zero by the final out. Boston's offense was measured but effective, scattering runs across five innings and finishing with nine hits while Miami managed nine hits of its own but could not convert them into enough runs against a Red Sox pitching staff that held firm in the late innings.

The decisive blow came in the top of the ninth when Anthony Seigler laced a triple off Tyler Zuber, a swing that shifted win probability by 33.6 percentage points and effectively closed the door on any Miami comeback. Seigler finished as the game's most impactful hitter by WPA, accumulating a plus-37.7 percent mark and a RE24 of plus-1.8. Mickey Gasper had already set the tone earlier with a fifth-inning double off Sandy Alcantara that added 14.1 percentage points of win probability, and he ended the night with a plus-30.4 percent WPA and the game's highest RE24 among position players at plus-2.3. Wilyer Abreu contributed an eighth-inning double off Josh Ekness worth plus-11.8 percentage points, and Owen Caissie rounded out Boston's top performers at plus-15.3 percent WPA.

On the pitching side, Sandy Alcantara was the game's most valuable arm by WPA despite taking the loss, posting a plus-25.7 percent mark that reflected his ability to limit damage through stretches, including a pivotal flyout he induced from Ceddanne Rafaela in the seventh that cost Boston 12.3 percentage points. Erik Miller contributed plus-10.9 percent WPA in relief, though a Heriberto Hernandez fielder's choice out in the bottom of the eighth went against Miami and swung win probability by minus-12.4 points from the Marlins' perspective. Ranger Suarez added plus-9.7 percent WPA for Boston to close out the pitching ledger in the Red Sox's favor.