Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 4-3 on August 22, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, completing a comeback from a three-run deficit surrendered in the first inning. Pittsburgh jumped out quickly, plating three runs in the top of the first, and the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Dodger win sat at 66% before first pitch, though that edge was tested early. Los Angeles methodically worked it back, scoring two runs in the fourth and two more in the fifth to claim the lead for good, finishing without allowing another Pirate run through nine innings.

The decisive sequence arrived in the bottom of the fifth inning, where two swings against Yohan Ramírez reshaped the outcome. Kyle Tucker delivered a single that added 14.5 percentage points to Los Angeles's win probability, and Max Muncy followed with a double that pushed it another 13.0 points, the two biggest positive plays of the game. Muncy finished as the game's most impactful batter by a wide margin, posting a WPA of plus-25.4 and a RE24 of plus-2.5. Esmerlyn Valdez was also a significant contributor at plus-18.2 WPA, while Alek Thomas added a fourth-inning single worth 11.5 percentage points and finished at plus-9.6 WPA.

On the pitching side, Jared Jones led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-16.3 despite giving up three first-inning runs, limiting damage in key spots including forcing a Mookie Betts groundout in the first that subtracted 11.1 percentage points from Los Angeles's probability. Tanner Scott contributed plus-15.2 WPA out of the bullpen, and Tarik Skubal added plus-9.3. The DiamondIQ model's estimate closed at 100% for the Dodgers, reflecting Los Angeles's complete shutdown of Pittsburgh over the final eight innings after the early deficit.