Washington Nationals at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| NYM | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
The Story
The New York Mets walked off the Washington Nationals 5-4 on August 15, 2026, at Citi Field, completing a comeback that shifted the DiamondIQ model's estimate from a dead-even 50 percent home win probability before first pitch to a certainty by the game's final out. The Nationals had seized control in the sixth inning, when Brady House connected on a three-run home run off Sean Manaea, a swing that moved Washington's win probability up by 31.4 percent and gave the visitors a 4-1 advantage heading into the later frames. The Mets trimmed the deficit partially in the bottom of the sixth when Carson Benge hit a home run off Tom Cosgrove, adding 13.8 percent to New York's win probability, but the Nationals still held the lead entering the ninth.
The final two innings told the decisive story. In the bottom of the eighth, Marcus Semien's groundout against Clayton Beeter was the single most damaging moment for the Mets, costing New York 25.8 percent in win probability and leaving them running low on outs. Beeter, who finished as the top pitching contributor with a WPA of plus-23.3 percent, and Dedniel Núñez at plus-13.3 percent and Jefry Yan at plus-11.2 percent formed the bridge that kept Washington within reach of a blown save. Then the ninth unraveled for Nationals reliever Yovanny Cruz. Francisco Lindor opened the inning with a single that added 16.4 percent to New York's chances, and Francisco Alvarez delivered the killing blow with a walk-off double that swung win probability by 48.0 percent, the largest single-play shift of the game.
Alvarez finished as the game's top offensive performer by WPA at plus-41.5 percent with a RE24 of plus-0.7, while Francisco Lindor contributed plus-29.0 percent WPA and led all hitters with a RE24 of plus-1.9. House was Washington's standout with a WPA of plus-23.5 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.7, his sixth-inning blast representing the Nationals' best chance at preserving the road victory. The final line showed both clubs clean defensively, Washington going 4 runs on 7 hits with no errors and New York posting 5 runs on 8 hits with no errors, but the Mets ultimately made their hits count when the game was most on the line.