MLB Recap · August 13, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

MIL5
Final
LAD4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIL0002000035101
LAD000013000440

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers rallied past the Los Angeles Dodgers 5-4 at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on August 13, 2026, completing a three-run ninth-inning comeback against one of baseball's most trusted late-game arms. The DiamondIQ model had opened with a 52 percent pre-game home win probability for the Dodgers, a figure that held reasonable through eight innings before collapsing entirely by game's end.

The decisive sequence began with Garrett Mitchell's single off Edwin Díaz in the top of the ninth, the game's single largest win-probability swing at plus-47.6 percent. That hit broke open a rally that also featured a Jake Bauers single off Alex Vesia worth an additional plus-34.0 percent, as Milwaukee strung together the three runs needed to take a 5-4 lead. Los Angeles had appeared to seize control in the bottom of the sixth when Max Muncy launched a home run off Antonio Senzatela, a swing worth plus-38.1 percent in win probability that gave the Dodgers a 4-0 cushion at the time. Kyle Tucker's flyout to end the bottom of the ninth, worth plus-31.6 percent from a Milwaukee standpoint, confirmed the final margin and completed the improbable finish.

Mitchell led all position players with a plus-38.2 percent WPA total on the night, while Bauers contributed plus-33.6 percent. Muncy paced the Dodgers with plus-31.7 percent WPA and led all batters with a plus-2.5 RE24, reflecting the run-environment value of his sixth-inning blast. On the pitching side, Jack Dreyer led Milwaukee's bullpen contributors at plus-7.2 percent WPA, followed by Shane Drohan at plus-5.2 percent and Edgardo Henriquez at plus-4.5 percent. Roki Sasaki worked into early trouble in the fourth when Joey Ortiz drew a walk worth plus-12.6 percent, an early sign that the Brewers were capable of generating pressure despite not breaking through until late.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalLAD win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 52.3% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Garrett Mitchell — Single
Top 9th · off Edwin Díaz
+47.6%
Max Muncy — Home Run
Bot 6th · off Antonio Senzatela
+38.1%
Jake Bauers — Single
Top 9th · off Alex Vesia
+34.0%
Kyle Tucker — Flyout
Bot 9th · off Trevor Megill
+31.6%
Joey Ortiz — Walk
Top 4th · off Roki Sasaki
+12.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Garrett Mitchell+38.2%+0.4 RE24
Jake Bauers+33.6%+0.4 RE24
Max Muncy+31.7%+2.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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