MLB Recap · August 11, 2026

Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

KC4
Final
LAD5

Line Score

Team12345678910RHE
KC0001000300460
LAD0100002101591

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers edged the Kansas City Royals 5-4 in ten innings on August 11, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, rallying from a three-run deficit in the eighth inning to claim a walk-off victory. The DiamondIQ model opened the night with a 72% pre-game win probability in favor of the home side, and that estimate climbed to 100% by the time Max Muncy singled off Lucas Erceg in the bottom of the tenth to end it. Kansas City had controlled the majority of the game, scoring once in the fourth and then erupting for three runs in the top of the eighth, but the Dodgers answered with a run of their own that frame and then manufactured the winning run in extras.

The pivotal sequence began in the bottom of the seventh, when Alex Call doubled off Michael Wacha, a swing that added 16.1% to Los Angeles's win probability and helped claw the Dodgers back into striking distance. The Royals appeared to regain control in the top of the eighth when Salvador Perez singled off Evan Phillips, a hit worth plus-18.8% in win probability and part of what ultimately became a three-run inning, leaving Perez as Kansas City's most impactful offensive contributor at plus-21.6% WPA for the night. In the tenth, Bobby Witt Jr.'s flyout off Seth Halvorsen swung the probability 18.0% against Kansas City, effectively sealing the Royals' fate, while Nick Loftin's lineout moments later in the same inning represented a final missed opportunity, costing the visitors 16.4% in win probability.

On the individual ledger, Mookie Betts led all players with plus-26.2% WPA and a plus-1.8 RE24, making him the most consequential bat in the contest. Jac Caglianone was also productive at plus-20.5% WPA and plus-1.0 RE24. On the mound, Edgardo Henriquez was the most valuable arm by win probability added at plus-13.5%, followed by Alex Vesia at plus-8.3% and Blake Snell at plus-7.1%. The Dodgers finished with nine hits against the Royals' six, and Los Angeles committed the game's only error, though it ultimately had no bearing on the outcome.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025KC bats firstFinalLAD win %KC win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 72.1% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Salvador Perez — Single
Top 8th · off Evan Phillips
+18.8%
Bobby Witt Jr. — Flyout
Top 10th · off Seth Halvorsen
-18.0%
Nick Loftin — Lineout
Top 10th · off Seth Halvorsen
+16.4%
Alex Call — Double
Bot 7th · off Michael Wacha
+16.1%
Max Muncy — Single
Bot 10th · off Lucas Erceg
+15.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Mookie Betts+26.2%+1.8 RE24
Salvador Perez+21.6%+0.3 RE24
Jac Caglianone+20.5%+1.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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