MLB Recap · August 11, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

PIT0
Final
MIA2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PIT000000000042
MIA00101000-250

The Story

The Miami Marlins shut out the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-0 on August 11, 2026, at loanDepot park, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of Miami's win probability climbing from 57% before first pitch to 100% by the final out. Pittsburgh managed just four hits and committed two errors, while Miami's pitching held the Pirates scoreless across all nine innings.

The two decisive moments came in the third and fifth innings against Pirates starter Paul Skenes. Esteury Ruiz delivered the game's most impactful swing in the bottom of the third, connecting on a home run off Skenes that shifted win probability by plus 10.9 percentage points in Miami's favor. Two innings later, Xavier Edwards extended the lead with a single off Skenes that added another 8.8 percentage points to Miami's advantage. Pittsburgh had a chance to put pressure on the Marlins early, but Jacob Gonzalez grounded into a double play in the top of the third against Eury Pérez, a swing of minus 8.0 percentage points that effectively neutralized any Pirates momentum before it could develop. Henry Davis's strikeout against Michael Petersen in the eighth, costing Pittsburgh 5.3 percentage points, underscored how thoroughly Miami controlled the game's late stages.

Eury Pérez was the standout performer by the DiamondIQ model's numbers, finishing with a WPA of plus 32.6 percentage points to anchor the Marlins' pitching effort. Petersen added plus 8.1 and Pete Fairbanks contributed plus 6.3 in relief. Offensively, Ruiz led all batters with a WPA of plus 12.7 and an RE24 of plus 1.2, while Edwards posted plus 6.6 WPA to round out a controlled, efficient Miami victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PIT bats firstFinalMIA win %PIT win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 56.9% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Esteury Ruiz — Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Paul Skenes
+10.9%
Xavier Edwards — Single
Bot 5th · off Paul Skenes
+8.8%
Jacob Gonzalez — Grounded Into DP
Top 3rd · off Eury Pérez
-8.0%
Javier Sanoja — Grounded Into DP
Bot 2nd · off Paul Skenes
-5.6%
Henry Davis — Strikeout
Top 8th · off Michael Petersen
-5.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Esteury Ruiz+12.7%+1.2 RE24
Xavier Edwards+6.6%+0.1 RE24
Ronny Simon+2.1%+0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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