MLB Recap · August 11, 2026

Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

SEA1
Final
NYY4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SEA000001000130
NYY00000040-480

The Story

The New York Yankees defeated the Seattle Mariners 4-1 on August 11, 2026, at Yankee Stadium, turning what had been a scoreless pitchers' duel into a decisive home win. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring New York at 63% and finished at 100% following a dominant seventh-inning rally that effectively ended any suspense. Seattle's Randy Arozarena provided the game's first run with a sixth-inning home run off Ryan Weathers, a swing that added 14.3% in win probability for the visitors and briefly gave the Mariners a 1-0 lead heading into the late innings.

The Yankees answered emphatically in the bottom of the seventh, plating all four of their runs in a sequence that rapidly shifted the model's estimate from competitive to conclusive. Ryan McMahon delivered the single most impactful play of the game, a single off Michael Rucker that added 18.6% in win probability, capping a frame that also featured a Trent Grisham single off Eduard Bazardo worth 11.9%, a Luis García Jr. double off Rucker at plus 10.6%, and a Jazz Chisholm Jr. single off Rucker contributing another 9.9%. The inning dismantled Seattle's pitching staff across multiple relievers and gave New York a lead it never relinquished.

Among position players, McMahon finished with the highest WPA at plus 14.4% to go with a RE24 of plus 0.7, while Grisham posted a RE24 of plus 1.3 alongside his 12.0% win-probability contribution. Arozarena led Seattle's offensive effort despite the loss. On the mound, Bryan Woo was the standout performer of the night, generating 28.6% in win-probability value for New York, with Tim Hill and José A. Ferrer adding 9.5% and 7.9% respectively in support.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SEA bats firstFinalNYY win %SEA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 63.4% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Ryan McMahon — Single
Bot 7th · off Michael Rucker
+18.6%
Randy Arozarena — Home Run
Top 6th · off Ryan Weathers
+14.3%
Trent Grisham — Single
Bot 7th · off Eduard Bazardo
+11.9%
Luis García Jr. — Double
Bot 7th · off Michael Rucker
+10.6%
Bot 7th · off Michael Rucker
+9.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Ryan McMahon+14.4%+0.7 RE24
Trent Grisham+12.0%+1.3 RE24
Randy Arozarena+11.9%+0.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →