MLB Recap · August 10, 2026

Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

KC5
Final
LAD6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
KC102000200560
LAD00200310-6100

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Kansas City Royals 6-5 on August 10, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, converting the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of a 72 percent home win probability into a final certainty. The game turned on a handful of pivotal swings, none more consequential than Max Muncy's sixth-inning double off John Schreiber, which shifted win probability by 33.1 percent in Los Angeles's favor and proved to be the decisive blow of the contest. That hit capped a three-run home half of the sixth that broke what had been a tight back-and-forth game, as the Dodgers had entered the frame tied following Kansas City's two-run third off Tarik Skubal, punctuated by Jac Caglianone's home run that added 17.4 percent to the Royals' win probability at that moment.

Kansas City mounted a serious threat in the seventh when Kyle Isbel launched a two-run home run off Jack Dreyer, a swing worth 24.3 percentage points of win probability that pulled the Royals within one and briefly reanimated the contest. The Royals carried that momentum into the eighth before Starling Marte grounded into a double play against Tanner Scott, a sequence that drained 11.6 percentage points from Kansas City's chances and effectively closed the door. Muncy finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-28.7 percent despite a costly second-inning strikeout against Noah Cameron that registered minus-10.9 percent, pairing his offensive impact with a plus-1.8 RE24. Freddie Freeman contributed plus-24.5 percent WPA and a plus-1.6 RE24 in support, while on the mound Cameron led all pitchers at plus-17.9 percent, with Edwin Díaz and Tanner Scott adding plus-15.2 and plus-10.8 percent respectively to secure the one-run victory for Los Angeles.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025KC bats firstFinalLAD win %KC win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 71.6% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Max Muncy — Double
Bot 6th · off John Schreiber
+33.1%
Kyle Isbel — Home Run
Top 7th · off Jack Dreyer
+24.3%
Jac Caglianone — Home Run
Top 3rd · off Tarik Skubal
+17.4%
Starling Marte — Grounded Into DP
Top 8th · off Tanner Scott
-11.6%
Max Muncy — Strikeout
Bot 2nd · off Noah Cameron
-10.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Max Muncy+28.7%+1.8 RE24
Freddie Freeman+24.5%+1.6 RE24
Kyle Isbel+17.4%+1.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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