San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
The Story
The San Diego Padres handed the Arizona Diamondbacks a 5-1 defeat at Chase Field on August 6, 2026, overcoming a pregame environment where the DiamondIQ model's estimate gave the home side a 55 percent chance of winning. San Diego scored in four separate innings, building their lead steadily while holding Arizona to a single run, finishing with 12 hits against 8 for the Diamondbacks and committing no errors on either side.
The decisive sequence came in the third inning, where the two teams traded blows in the game's most consequential stretch. Gabriel Moreno delivered a single off Walker Buehler that shifted win probability by plus 8.3 percent in Arizona's favor, representing the Diamondbacks' most productive moment of the night. However, Nolan Arenado countered with a flyout that swung the ledger 6.6 percent back toward San Diego, and in the fourth inning Ryan Waldschmidt grounded into a double play off Buehler at a cost of 6.4 percent, effectively extinguishing Arizona's best opportunities to build on their lone run. San Diego then added to their lead in the sixth when Freddy Fermin singled off Philip Abner for a plus 8.0 percent swing, and Jackson Merrill followed with another single in the seventh worth plus 5.6 percent, each hit tightening the Padres' grip on the outcome.
On the individual ledgers, Jackson Merrill led all batters with a plus 9.8 percent WPA and a 0.5 RE24 mark, while Gabriel Moreno posted plus 8.0 percent WPA and led position players with a 1.1 RE24. Freddy Fermin added plus 7.7 percent WPA to round out San Diego's most impactful contributors at the plate. On the mound, Walker Buehler was the game's most valuable pitcher by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, contributing plus 14.4 percent WPA as he consistently retired Arizona hitters in critical situations. Bradgley Rodriguez added plus 12.6 percent and Jonathan Loáisiga contributed plus 8.9 percent out of the bullpen, collectively ensuring the Diamondbacks' late-game chances never materialized.