Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| COL | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
The Story
The Tampa Bay Rays completed a come-from-behind victory at Coors Field on August 4, 2026, defeating the Colorado Rockies 9-7 in eleven innings. The DiamondIQ model had entered the game giving the Rays just a 34 percent chance to win as the road team, yet the final probability landed at zero percent for Colorado as Tampa Bay closed it out. The game stretched deep into extras after the two clubs combined for nine runs across just the third and fourth innings, with neither side generating further damage until the Rays pushed across two runs in each of the ninth and eleventh frames to seal the result.
The decisive swing in momentum came in the top of the third, when Liam Hicks connected on a home run off Gabriel Hughes that shifted win probability by plus-31.3 percent in Tampa Bay's favor, the single largest play of the contest. Colorado answered in the bottom half as Mickey Moniak took Freddy Peralta deep for a plus-26.8 percent swing that kept the Rockies alive and gave the home side the lead heading into the middle innings. The Rays then erased that advantage in the ninth when Jonathan Aranda laced a single off Jordan Romano worth plus-28.4 percent in win probability, tying the game and sending it to extras. Hunter Goodman's flyout against Garrett Cleavinger in the bottom of the tenth cost Colorado 20.5 percentage points and proved pivotal, before Junior Caminero singled off Nick Frasso in the eleventh for a plus-19.1 percent swing that put the Rays in front for good.
Hicks finished as the game's most impactful offensive performer with a cumulative WPA of plus-41.3 percent and a RE24 of plus-3.1, while Aranda added plus-31.1 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.5. Moniak led Rockies batters at plus-24.8 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.1, though it ultimately was not enough. On the mound, Garrett Cleavinger led Tampa Bay's relievers at plus-16.5 percent WPA, with Brennan Bernardino and Juan Mejia contributing plus-8.5 and plus-8.1 percent respectively as the Rays bullpen navigated the extra innings without error, finishing with a clean 12-hit, zero-error line.