MLB Recap · August 2, 2026

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

BOS8
Final
LAD4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
BOS203001020890
LAD030000100491

The Story

The Boston Red Sox handed the Los Angeles Dodgers an 8-4 defeat at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on August 2, 2026, overcoming an early deficit to pull away convincingly. The DiamondIQ model entered the game assigning Los Angeles a 62 percent home win probability, but that figure collapsed to zero as Boston piled up eight runs on nine hits without committing an error. The Dodgers struck first, plating three runs in the bottom of the second on an Andy Pages single off Jake Bennett that carried a win-probability swing of plus-10.4 percent and temporarily swung momentum firmly toward Los Angeles.

Boston answered with the decisive stretch of the game in the third inning, when Emmet Sheehan allowed three consecutive home runs that effectively transferred control of the contest. Wilyer Abreu and Ceddanne Rafaela each connected for plus-10.5 percent win-probability swings, and Masataka Yoshida added another at plus-10.2 percent, a three-homer barrage that erased the deficit and fundamentally altered the DiamondIQ model's estimate. Jarren Duran added insurance with a sixth-inning home run off Kyle Hurt worth plus-10.3 percent in win probability, and Boston tacked on two more in the eighth to set the final margin.

Among the standout performers, Rafaela finished with the second-highest WPA among batters at plus-8.7 percent alongside a plus-0.4 RE24. Anthony Seigler contributed plus-8.5 percent WPA and a plus-0.7 RE24 on the offensive side. On the pitching ledger, Jake Bennett led all pitchers at plus-11.0 percent WPA despite the two-run second inning, with Jack Dreyer and Evan Phillips adding plus-6.1 and plus-4.3 percent, respectively, as the Red Sox bullpen secured the final outs without further damage.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025BOS bats firstFinalLAD win %BOS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 61.6% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Wilyer Abreu Home Run
Top 3rd · off Emmet Sheehan
+10.5%
Ceddanne Rafaela Home Run
Top 3rd · off Emmet Sheehan
+10.5%
Andy Pages Single
Bot 2nd · off Jake Bennett
+10.4%
Jarren Duran Home Run
Top 6th · off Kyle Hurt
+10.3%
Masataka Yoshida Home Run
Top 3rd · off Emmet Sheehan
+10.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Andy Pages+17.5%+1.4 RE24
Ceddanne Rafaela+8.7%+0.4 RE24
Anthony Seigler+8.5%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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