New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago Cubs defeated the New York Yankees 5-2 at Wrigley Field on August 1, 2026, in a game that remained tight through six innings before a decisive seventh-inning sequence swung the outcome decisively in Chicago's favor. The DiamondIQ model entered the day giving the Cubs a 55 percent home win probability, and that figure climbed to 100 percent by the final out.

The seventh inning defined the contest from both directions. Spencer Jones opened the frame for New York with a home run off David Peterson, a swing that added 16.5 percent to the Yankees' win probability and briefly gave the road team life. Chicago answered emphatically in the bottom half. Pete Crow-Armstrong laced a triple off Brent Headrick, the single play with the largest win-probability swing of the night at plus-19.4 percent, setting the stage for what followed. Seiya Suzuki then singled against Headrick for another 9.9 percent added, and Nico Hoerner capped the rally with a home run off Fernando Cruz that registered plus-17.3 percent and effectively closed the door on New York's chances. The Cubs scored three runs in that inning alone, turning a one-run deficit into a lead they would not relinquish.

Among the top performers by the DiamondIQ model's metrics, Hoerner led all batters with a plus-20.4 percent WPA and a 0.5 RE24, while Jones posted the second-highest WPA figure at plus-19.5 percent with a 1.3 RE24 despite being on the losing side. Crow-Armstrong contributed plus-16.1 percent WPA and a 1.2 RE24 to anchor Chicago's decisive rally. On the mound, Max Fried led all pitchers with plus-18.0 percent WPA, and Jacob Webb added plus-8.1 percent in support, giving the Cubs' pitching staff the durability it needed to protect the advantage through the final two innings.