Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox handed the Los Angeles Dodgers a 3-2 defeat at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on August 1, 2026, overcoming a pre-game DiamondIQ model estimate that gave the home side a 63 percent chance of winning. Boston scratched across single runs in the first, third, and eighth innings against a Dodgers club that managed ten hits but could not convert them into enough runs, finishing with two scores both coming in the second inning. The Red Sox defense was clean throughout, committing no errors against a Los Angeles lineup that repeatedly put runners on base without the decisive hit to change the outcome.

The pivotal sequence came in the bottom of the ninth, where Aroldis Chapman induced a flyout from Alex Call that swung win probability by 31.6 percent in Boston's favor and sealed the victory. That play alone represented the single largest probability shift of the game, underscoring how close Los Angeles came to extending the contest. Earlier, Teoscar Hernandez had been at the center of the game's emotional swings in both directions, his second-inning home run off Payton Tolle adding 13.3 percent win probability for the Dodgers, while his groundout in the eighth against Tyron Guerrero erased 16.5 percent from Los Angeles's chances. Andruw Monasterio's double off Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the top of the eighth, adding 11.2 percent win probability, set the table for the go-ahead Boston run, and Ceddanne Rafaela's third-inning homer off Yamamoto had provided an earlier 10.6 percent swing for the visitors.

On the mound, Tyron Guerrero was Boston's most impactful reliever by win probability added at plus 23.3 percent, with Payton Tolle contributing plus 19.6 percent and Justin Slaten adding 8.3 percent in support. At the plate, Alex Call finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus 31.6 percent despite a negative RE24 of minus 0.1, while Jarren Duran added plus 10.9 percent win probability and plus 0.3 RE24 in a quietly effective outing. The DiamondIQ model's estimate moved from a 63 percent Dodgers advantage before first pitch to zero percent by the final out, a full reversal that reflected how thoroughly Boston's bullpen and timely hitting dismantled a Los Angeles team that controlled the hit column but not the scoreboard.