Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies blanked the Baltimore Orioles 5-0 on August 1, 2026, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Baltimore win dropping from 50% before first pitch all the way to 0% by the final out. The game was a methodical shutout built on dominant pitching and two decisive offensive bursts, with Philadelphia's first run crossing in the fifth inning before a four-run eighth put the result entirely out of reach.

The pivotal moments unfolded across several key at-bats. Bryan De La Cruz's single off Shane Baz in the top of the fifth was the game's first crack, shifting win probability 11.5 points toward Philadelphia. Baltimore's inability to answer was underscored by Leody Taveras, whose groundout off Cristopher Sánchez in the bottom of the sixth swung win probability 12.1 points against the Orioles, the single costliest play of the game from Baltimore's perspective. Taveras had also struck out against Sánchez in the fourth, a swing worth -8.4 points of win probability. The Phillies then put the game away in the eighth against Andrew Kittredge, with Alec Bohm's single adding 15.9 points of win probability and Justin Crawford following with a single worth another 7.4 points.

Cristopher Sánchez was the clear standout performer, posting a WPA of +30.6, by far the largest contribution of any player on either side. Shane Baz added +14.7 WPA in support, and Jonathan Bowlan contributed +9.7 WPA to close out Baltimore's offense, which managed just three hits on the night. Among position players, Bryce Harper led the Phillies with +11.8 WPA and a RE24 of +0.7, followed by Christian Encarnacion-Strand at +8.1 WPA and Bohm at +7.6 WPA. Philadelphia's pitching staff combined to hold Baltimore scoreless on three hits, making this a thoroughly one-sided result despite the even pre-game probability the DiamondIQ model had assigned.