Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | 8 | 8 | 0 |
The Story
The Miami Marlins defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 8-6 on July 29, 2026, at loanDepot park, rallying from an early deficit to hand Philadelphia a road loss. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Miami a 52 percent win probability, but by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent as the Marlins steadily erased Philadelphia's early advantage and pulled away late.
Philadelphia struck first, pushing across two runs in the third inning on a Bryson Stott double off Ryan Gusto, a play that shifted win probability 16.2 points in the Phillies' favor and represented the high-water mark of their offensive effort. The Phillies added another run in the fourth and erupted for three more in the fifth, but Miami answered with three of their own in the fifth on a Heriberto Hernandez home run off Jesus Luzardo that swung the probability 10.3 points toward the Marlins. The game turned decisively in the seventh, when Xavier Edwards singled off Seth Johnson in a sequence worth 25.0 points of win probability, and a Liam Hicks walk added another 9.1 points as Miami posted three runs in the frame to take control.
Griffin Conine delivered the knockout blow in the bottom of the eighth, connecting for a home run off Jonathan Bowlan that carried a win-probability swing of plus 30.3 points, the single largest play of the game and the moment the DiamondIQ model effectively closed the door on Philadelphia. Conine finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 30.3 with a RE24 of plus 1.7, while Edwards posted plus 23.0 WPA and plus 1.6 RE24 in support. On the mound, Tyler Zuber led Miami's relievers with plus 10.6 WPA, followed by Pete Fairbanks at plus 6.3, as the Marlins bullpen preserved the two-run final margin.