MLB Recap · July 29, 2026

Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

BAL10
Final
DET9

Line Score

Team123456789101112RHE
BAL0000005200211093
DET0030220000209101

The Story

The Baltimore Orioles outlasted the Detroit Tigers 10-9 in 12 innings at Comerica Park on July 29, 2026, completing a comeback that required surviving a gut-punch home run and then manufacturing the decisive run in extra innings. Detroit had built a 9-7 lead through the first ten innings, controlling the game at home with a pre-game win probability of 52 percent according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate. The contest remained close into extras before the two most pivotal sequences of the game unfolded in the 11th and 12th innings.

The single biggest swing of the night came in the bottom of the 11th, when Spencer Torkelson connected on a home run off Rico Garcia that shifted win probability by plus-55.0 percent in Detroit's favor, pushing the Tigers ahead and nearly ending Baltimore's chances. Torkelson finished as the game's most impactful player overall, posting a WPA of plus-52.8 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.9, a performance that loomed large despite coming on the losing side. Baltimore answered in the top of the 12th, however, as Jackson Holliday had already swung the momentum in the top of the 11th with a single off Drew Sommers worth plus-24.8 percent, and then Colton Cowser delivered a go-ahead single off Sommers in the 12th for a plus-28.5 percent swing. Christian Encarnacion-Strand added a groundout worth plus-21.1 percent against Brenan Hanifee to extend the Baltimore lead before Kenley Jansen and Yennier Cano helped close it out, contributing WPA figures of plus-13.5 and plus-10.9 percent respectively. Taylor Ward also stood out offensively with a WPA of plus-26.9 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.6, while Tarik Skubal led all pitchers with plus-20.4 percent WPA in a losing effort.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025BAL bats firstFinalDET win %BAL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 52.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Spencer Torkelson Home Run
Bot 11th · off Rico Garcia
+55.0%
Colton Cowser Single
Top 12th · off Drew Sommers
+28.5%
Jackson Holliday Single
Top 11th · off Drew Sommers
+24.8%
Top 12th · off Brenan Hanifee
+21.1%
Dillon Dingler Groundout
Bot 10th · off Tyler Wells
+19.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Spencer Torkelson+52.8%+1.9 RE24
Colton Cowser+28.5%+0.8 RE24
Taylor Ward+26.9%+1.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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