Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Houston Astros handed the Los Angeles Angels a 7-4 defeat at Angel Stadium on July 29, 2026, erasing an early three-run deficit to pull away for the road victory. The DiamondIQ model opened the game giving Houston just a 42 percent chance of winning, but that estimate climbed steadily before finishing at zero percent for Los Angeles as the Astros outscored the Angels 7-1 over the final seven innings.

The decisive sequence came in the top of the sixth, when Houston turned a one-run game into a commanding lead against Mitch Farris. Cam Smith delivered the signature blow of the night, a two-out double that shifted win probability by plus-22.1 percent and represented the single largest swing of the contest. A Lucas Spence walk in that same frame added another plus-10.3 percent, as the Astros pushed across three runs to take control. Jeremy Peña had earlier laid the groundwork with a solo home run off Grayson Rodriguez in the third, a swing worth plus-9.7 percent, and Yainer Diaz kept the foot on the gas in the seventh with a single off Kirby Yates that moved the needle an additional plus-10.4 percent. The Angels' most meaningful threat came in the bottom of the eighth, but Bryan Abreu answered by striking out Denzer Guzman in a spot that carried a minus-8.8 percent win-probability consequence for Los Angeles.

Smith finished as the game's top offensive contributor with a WPA of plus-17.9 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.0, while Diaz posted the highest RE24 among position players at plus-2.1 alongside a plus-11.6 percent WPA. Peña added plus-11.7 percent WPA of his own. On the mound, Grayson Rodriguez led all pitchers with a plus-17.1 percent WPA despite surrendering the early three-run frame, with Bennett Sousa contributing plus-9.8 percent and Abreu closing out his outing at plus-5.6 percent. Houston finished without an error on 11 hits, while Los Angeles committed two errors across nine innings in the loss.