MLB Recap · July 28, 2026

Boston Red Sox at Athletics: Final Score & Recap

BOS3
Final
ATH4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
BOS000000012380
ATH01000021-490

The Story

The Athletics defeated the Boston Red Sox 4-3 on July 28, 2026, at Sutter Health Park, completing a comeback that began from a precarious position. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had Oakland entering the game with just a 44% chance of winning, a figure that climbed to 100% by the final out as the Athletics pieced together enough offense to hold off Boston.

The decisive sequence arrived in the bottom of the seventh inning, when Brian Serven connected on a home run off Jake Bennett that shifted win probability by plus 16.7 percentage points, the single largest swing of the game. That blow was the turning point, giving Oakland a cushion they would ultimately protect. The Athletics had shown early hints of what was to come when Henry Bolte singled off Bennett in the second inning, a play that added 6.9 percentage points of win probability and set the tone for Oakland's patient, incremental offensive construction. Boston did not go quietly, as Anthony Seigler drew a walk off Luis Medina in the eighth that added 8.2 percentage points back toward the Red Sox, but Romy Gonzalez then grounded into a double play on the very next sequence, erasing that momentum with a swing of minus 15.1 percentage points and effectively closing the door.

Among individual performers, Gage Jump led all players by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting plus 32.7% WPA on the mound, while Bolte and Serven paced the Oakland offense at plus 13.5% and plus 13.0% WPA respectively, with RE24 figures of plus 1.4 and plus 1.2 confirming their contributions in context. Luis Medina added plus 8.5% WPA in relief despite the walk to Seigler, and Lawrence Butler contributed plus 6.3% WPA and plus 1.1 RE24 at the plate. Both clubs finished without an error, the final line reading Boston 3 runs on 8 hits against Oakland's 4 runs on 9 hits.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025BOS bats firstFinalATH win %BOS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 44.1% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Brian Serven Home Run
Bot 7th · off Jake Bennett
+16.7%
Romy Gonzalez Grounded Into DP
Top 8th · off Luis Medina
-15.1%
Andruw Monasterio Strikeout
Top 5th · off Gage Jump
-10.0%
Top 8th · off Luis Medina
+8.2%
Henry Bolte Single
Bot 2nd · off Jake Bennett
+6.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Henry Bolte+13.5%+1.4 RE24
Brian Serven+13.0%+1.2 RE24
Lawrence Butler+6.3%+1.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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