Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

The Miami Marlins walked off the Philadelphia Phillies 8-7 on July 27, 2026, at loanDepot park in a game that swung dramatically across its final innings. Miami entered as a coin flip according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate, which set the pre-game home win probability at 50%, but by the final out that figure had climbed to 100% as the Marlins rallied against one of Philadelphia's most trusted late-inning arms.

The decisive turning point came in the bottom of the ninth against Jhoan Duran, when Miami strung together three consequential plate appearances to erase what had been a Phillies lead. Kyle Stowers reached on a hit by pitch that shifted win probability 21.5 points in Miami's favor, then Griffin Conine extended the rally with a single worth 15.9 points. Heriberto Hernández then delivered the decisive blow, a walk-off single off Duran that carried the largest single-play swing of the game at plus 38.0 percent, completing the comeback. Philadelphia had appeared to regain control in the top of the sixth, where Justin Crawford's single added 24.5 points of win probability and J.T. Realmuto's double contributed another 16.2, fueling a four-run frame that temporarily gave the Phillies the upper hand.

Hernández was the standout performer of the night by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, finishing with a WPA of plus 41.9 and a RE24 of plus 1.5. Bryson Stott contributed plus 19.3 WPA and plus 1.4 RE24 in a strong offensive showing for Philadelphia despite the loss, while Crawford added plus 16.4 WPA. On the pitching side, Tyler Phillips led all pitchers with plus 13.8 WPA, followed closely by Orion Kerkering at plus 13.3. Philadelphia finished with 10 hits but committed two errors, while Miami collected 14 hits and capitalized when it mattered most.